As the steel industry faces mounting pressure to decarbonise, the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is set to become a decisive financial factor. By 2026, imported steel will carry a carbon price aligned with EU standards turning scrap from a hidden inefficiency into a direct cost driver. For Finance Managers, the implications are clear:

• Every tonne of scrap hits twice - first as lost margin, then as added carbon liability.
• Scrap sold typically returns only ~40% of its purchase price, representing up to a 60% loss.
• Industry “best practice” targets a 2.5% scrap rate, but in reality, many manufacturers operate between 3% and 8%. At scale, this can mean millions of euros in lost gross margin annually.

The financial risks extend beyond internal P&L impact. Under CBAM, higher scrap inflates reported emissions, which in turn increases levy exposure. These costs will either erode profitability or be passed down the value chain, raising the cost of goods sold (COGS). For CFOs and Finance Managers, reducing scrap is no longer just about operational efficiency, it’s central to margin protection, compliance, and shareholder value. With steel demand projected at 405 million tonnes by 2025, even a 1% reduction in scrap rates could translate into tens of millions in savings alongside measurable carbon reductions.

By treating scrap as a financial KPI, not just a production by-product, Finance leaders can position their organisations to safeguard margins, manage CBAM risk, and strengthen competitiveness in an increasingly regulated market.

GoSmarter.ai: A Strategic Response to CBAM GoSmarter.ai is an AI-powered optimisation platform purpose-built for the rebar steel industry. Developed by Nightingale HQ, it integrates heuristic algorithms and artificial intelligence to reduce scrap, improve margins, and meet sustainability targets.

Key Features:

• Scrap Reduction: Achieves scrap rates of 2.5% or lower, aligning with industry gold standards
• Mill Cert Digitisation: Extracts carbon equivalence (CEQ) data from steel mill certificates to guide cutting decisions
• Rolling Gains Calculations: Optimises material use across rolling schedules

The Plug-and-Play Interface is also designed for non-technical users, with no coding or complex setup required. Initial results with a leading rebar manufacturer demonstrated a 2.5% scrap reduction, outperforming the industry benchmark.

CBAM, Compliance and Competitive Advantage

By reducing scrap, GoSmarter.ai enables manufacturers to lower CBAM tax liability as less waste means fewer emissions and reduced carbon costs. It also strengthens sustainability profiles, supporting compliance and tendering success. Most importantly, it boosts profitability as every percentage point reduction in scrap can potentially lift gross margins by 0.5 to 1.5pp.

Our mission is simple we want help rebar manufacturers maximise the net realised value of every tonne of steel they purchase through smarter, greener production. GoSmarter.ai offers a powerful, user-friendly solution that not only cuts waste but also strengthens compliance and competitiveness in a carbon-conscious market. Whether preparing for CBAM or seeking margin growth, GoSmarter.ai is the smart choice for rebar manufacturers who want to get more out of raw material while protecting profitability.

References

Image reference: Photo by Anna Seeley on Unsplash

Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism - European Commission

Nightingale HQ delivers on scrap cutting trials with steel manufacturer

How to win with CBAM | McKinsey & Company